L’École des cotesFrançais
Olympiacos v Fenerbahce SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olympiacos (Local)
Prévision 66.36%1.51cote équitable
EV +0.203%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.52%66.35%66.36%67.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.85%69.93%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.64%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.760%
Avantage -0.258%
Kelly -0.390%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.08%33.65%33.64%36.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.802.9539.22%35.99%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV +0.203%E +0.134%K +0.398%G +0.001% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -10.18%E -3.81%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| William Hill | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| 888sport | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.88%E -5.42%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.85%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.10%E -0.373%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.22% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |