Language:English
KK Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -0.195%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%53.79%54.05%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.45%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -0.989%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.21%45.95%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1552.36%49.20%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KK Crvena zvezda (Local): 53.95%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 46.05%. For KK Crvena zvezda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.854. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.195%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.195%E -0.105%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.82%E -4.45%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.37%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.67%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -8.36%E -4.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 11:49 |