La scuola delle quote

KK Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce SK

Inizio: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

KK Crvena zvezda (Casa)

Previsione 53.95%1.85quota equa
EV -0.195%
Vantaggio -0.105%
Kelly -0.230%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.32%53.79%54.05%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.45%56.50%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.05%2.17quota equa
EV -0.989%
Vantaggio -0.460%
Kelly -0.860%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.21%45.95%48.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.032.052.1552.36%49.20%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.195%E -0.105%K -0.230%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:54
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 18:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:09
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:34
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:34
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 13:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:25
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:49
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 16:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 11:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.82%E -4.45%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 08:35
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.37%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:45
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:05
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.67%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 17:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -8.36%E -4.20%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 09:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 17:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 17:59
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 18:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 11:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 12:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 11:59
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:25
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 17:10
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:50
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 18:05
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:59
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-03-13 18:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-03-13 11:49