L’École des cotesFrançais
KK Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prévision 53.95%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.195%
Avantage -0.105%
Kelly -0.230%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%53.79%54.05%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.45%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.05%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.989%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.860%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.21%45.95%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.052.1552.36%49.20%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.195%E -0.105%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.81%E -0.996%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.74%E -4.97%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| William Hill | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.82%E -4.45%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 08:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.37%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| ReBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.67%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -8.36%E -4.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 11:59 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.989%E -0.460%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.21%E -4.19%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.44%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.91%E -5.93%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 18:50 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 11:49 |