Language:English
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prediction 78.15%1.28fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -9.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.38%78.16%78.18%79.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.2585.47%82.70%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)
Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV +3.77%
Edge +0.793%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%21.84%21.82%25.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.364.474.7527.78%22.92%22.37%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 78.15%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 21.85%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.77%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.56%E -7.32%K -50.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.79%E -0.626%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.41%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -12.18%E -3.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.31%E -1.85%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.80%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -21.35%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |