La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Predicción 78.15%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -9.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.38%78.16%78.18%79.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.201.2585.47%82.70%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visitante)
Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV +3.77%
Ventaja +0.793%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.07%21.84%21.82%25.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.364.474.7527.78%22.92%22.37%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| William Hill | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.56%E -7.32%K -50.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.79%E -0.626%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.41%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -12.18%E -3.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.31%E -1.85%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| TAB | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.80%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:23 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:25 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -21.35%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |