L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Virtus Segafredo Bologna
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)
Prévision 78.15%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -9.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.38%78.16%78.18%79.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.201.2585.47%82.70%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.85%4.58cote équitable
EV +3.77%
Avantage +0.793%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.07%21.84%21.82%25.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.364.474.7527.78%22.92%22.37%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.77%E +0.793%K +1.00%G +0.038% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.68%E +0.569%K +0.723%G +0.019% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| William Hill | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.492%E +0.107%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.601%E -0.132%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.56%E -7.32%K -50.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.69%E -0.376%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 15:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -1.91%E -0.426%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 17:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.79%E -0.626%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.43%E -4.49%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.78%E -6.59%K -43.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.88%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.41%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.22%E -5.18%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 16:39 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.25%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 15:29 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43%EV -12.18%E -3.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.31%E -1.85%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.00%E -5.88%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -12.62%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| TAB | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.87%E -3.15%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.80%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:23 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.65%E -3.81%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.08%E -4.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:25 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -3.09%E -2.49%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -21.35%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |