Language:English
Fenerbahce SK v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prediction 67.67%1.48fair odd
EV +0.146%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.303%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%67.56%67.63%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4873.53%71.50%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 32.33%3.09fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.44%32.37%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.922.933.1340.00%34.22%34.13%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 67.67%; Žalgiris (Visit): 32.33%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.21%E +0.385%K +0.566%G +0.007% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.30%E -5.33%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.35%E -0.778%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -5.91%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.24%E -2.26%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -1.88%E -1.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.52%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.82%E -3.13%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -9.14%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.146%E +0.098%K +0.303%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.31%E -5.40%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |