L’École des cotesFenerbahce SK v Žalgiris
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prévision 67.67%1.48cote équitable
EV +0.146%
Avantage +0.098%
Kelly +0.303%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.45%67.56%67.63%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4873.53%71.50%71.43%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Žalgiris (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.33%3.09cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%32.44%32.37%36.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.922.933.1340.00%34.22%34.13%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.21%E +0.385%K +0.566%G +0.007% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.30%E -5.33%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.35%E -0.778%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 14:14 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -5.91%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| William Hill | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.24%E -2.26%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 11:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -1.88%E -1.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.52%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.82%E -3.13%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetUS | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -9.14%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.146%E +0.098%K +0.303%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.31%E -5.40%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |