La scuola delle quote

Fenerbahce SK v Žalgiris

Inizio: 2026-03-27 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fenerbahce SK (Casa)

Previsione 67.67%1.48quota equa
EV +0.146%
Vantaggio +0.098%
Kelly +0.303%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.45%67.56%67.63%69.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4873.53%71.50%71.43%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Žalgiris (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.33%3.09quota equa
EV +1.21%
Vantaggio +0.385%
Kelly +0.566%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%32.44%32.37%36.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.922.933.1340.00%34.22%34.13%31.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.25%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.21%E +0.385%K +0.566%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-27 17:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:24
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:24
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:24
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:25
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:50
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.236%E +0.076%K +0.112%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 16:19
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 17:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.38%E -0.453%K -0.674%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 16:15
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.03%E -0.669%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 16:15
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.30%E -5.33%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.35%E -0.778%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 17:40
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 17:30
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.00%E -0.999%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:40
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:39
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:40
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.61%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:40
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 14:14
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -5.91%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 16:39
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.24%E -2.26%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 11:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 10:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 10:59
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 11:00
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 17:35
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -1.88%E -1.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 15:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 11:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.97%E -5.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 19:25
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -7.52%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 12:14
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:39
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.82%E -3.13%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 17:40
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -5.94%E -4.28%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -9.14%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.62%E -4.80%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.46%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:40
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.91%E -2.76%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:40
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.146%E +0.098%K +0.303%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.31%E -5.40%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 17:25
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 17:24
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -19.16%E -7.67%K -12.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 17:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-27 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-27 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-03-27 17:40
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-03-27 17:35
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-03-27 17:35

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%12.0%2026-03-27 17:25