Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

2026-09-25 17:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK (Local)

Prediction 82.50%1.21fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -9.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.99%82.43%82.70%84.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.151.151.1991.74%87.22%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)

Prediction 17.50%5.71fair odd
EV +8.49%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.30%17.57%17.30%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.105.245.406.2024.39%19.09%18.52%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 82.50%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 17.50%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.71. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.20, producing a positive expected value of +8.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -7.60%E -6.78%K -63.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +8.49%E +1.37%K +1.63%G +0.139%5.4%2026-09-15 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.95%E -5.22%K -42.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.616%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-15 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.95%E -5.22%K -42.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.616%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-15 17:45
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 16:00
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.60%E -6.78%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.60%E -6.78%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.76%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.77%E -5.99%K -52.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.51%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.77%E -5.99%K -52.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.51%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.60%E -6.78%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.51%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.30%E -3.71%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.26%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.47%E -2.97%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.13%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.01%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.12%E -4.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.01%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 16:00
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.60%E -6.78%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.01%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.65%E -2.24%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.95%E -5.22%K -42.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.82%E -1.53%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -16.88%E -3.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 16:58
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.47%E -2.97%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -19.51%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -3.47%E -2.97%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -23.01%E -5.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -3.47%E -2.97%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -23.01%E -5.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -3.47%E -2.97%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -23.01%E -5.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.00%EV -10.07%E -9.24%K -111.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -28.26%E -6.89%K -9.11%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-15 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.