Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

2026-09-25 17:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK (Local)

Prediction 80.92%1.24fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -19.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.16%81.08%80.97%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.151.1990.09%86.44%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit)

Prediction 19.08%5.24fair odd
EV +6.83%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%18.92%19.03%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.755.025.005.6026.67%19.94%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 80.92%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit): 19.08%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.24. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.60, producing a positive expected value of +6.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +3.02%E +0.559%K +0.686%G +0.021%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +3.02%E +0.559%K +0.686%G +0.021%5.5%2026-08-26 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.11%E +0.209%K +0.258%G +0.003%5.8%2026-08-26 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.75%E -6.80%K -55.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.798%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.56%E -7.57%K -65.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -0.798%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.51%E -3.82%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.71%E -0.530%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.51%E -3.82%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 16:58
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.75%E -6.80%K -55.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.13%E -5.28%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.70%E -3.11%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 16:58
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.13%E -5.28%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 16:59
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:59
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.16%EV -10.18%E -9.17%K -92.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -28.46%E -7.59%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-26 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.