Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fenerbahce SK v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Inizio: 2026-09-25 17:46 UTC

Finale: Fenerbahce SK 78–68 Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fenerbahce SK (Casa)

Previsione 84.30%1.19quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -2.65%
Kelly -20.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.93%84.38%84.27%86.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.66%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.70%6.37quota equa
EV +7.68%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescita +0.101%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.79%15.62%15.73%19.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.886.156.006.8620.49%16.27%16.67%14.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fenerbahce SK (Casa): 84.30%; Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta): 15.70%. Per Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.37. 18 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.86, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.68%.

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +7.68%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.101%3.9%2026-09-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +7.68%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.101%3.9%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%4.1%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.11%E -7.44%K -90.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%6.6%2026-09-25 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.95%E -8.29%K -111.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%7.4%2026-09-25 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%4.7%2026-09-25 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%5.5%2026-09-25 17:30
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%5.5%2026-09-25 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%6.3%2026-09-25 17:30
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.463%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 17:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.89%E -0.303%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 10:24
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -2.68%E -0.432%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.01%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.99%EV -5.19%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-25 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.74%E -4.19%K -36.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 14:00
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 17:30
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 17:29
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.82%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -6.60%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -7.39%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.74%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.74%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:30
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -4.74%E -4.19%K -36.45%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -10.37%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.80%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-25 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -18.37%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-25 17:10
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.51%E -4.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:30
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.93%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.07%EV -23.40%E -4.79%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-09-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-09-25 17:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33%10.3%2026-09-24 14:00