默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

开赛时间: 2026-09-25 17:46 UTC

最终结果: Fenerbahce SK 78–68 Virtus Segafredo Bologna

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK (主队)

预测 84.30%1.19公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -20.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.15

博彩公司预测分布
80.93%84.38%84.27%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.121.121.1592.59%89.66%89.29%86.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)

预测 15.70%6.37公平赔率
EV +7.68%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.101%

假设最高赔率为 6.86

博彩公司预测分布
13.79%15.62%15.73%19.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.886.156.006.8620.49%16.27%16.67%14.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fenerbahce SK (主队):84.30%;Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队):15.70%。 对于“Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.37。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.86,对应+7.68%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +7.68%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.101%3.9%2026-09-25 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV +7.68%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.101%3.9%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%4.1%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%5.7%2026-09-25 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -8.11%E -7.44%K -90.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%6.6%2026-09-25 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -8.95%E -8.29%K -111.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +5.96%E +0.883%K +1.04%G +0.062%7.4%2026-09-25 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%4.7%2026-09-25 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%5.5%2026-09-25 17:30
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%5.5%2026-09-25 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +2.03%E +0.313%K +0.370%G +0.008%6.3%2026-09-25 17:30
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.463%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 17:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.89%E -0.303%K -0.360%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 10:24
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -2.68%E -0.432%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.01%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.99%EV -5.19%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-25 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.74%E -4.19%K -36.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 14:00
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 17:30
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 17:29
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.82%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.82%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -6.60%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -7.27%E -6.61%K -72.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -7.39%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.74%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.74%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:30
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -4.74%E -4.19%K -36.45%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -10.37%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.42%E -5.79%K -58.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.66%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -16.80%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-25 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.58%E -4.98%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -18.37%E -3.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-25 17:10
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -21.51%E -4.30%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:30
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.93%EV -3.05%E -2.65%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.07%EV -23.40%E -4.79%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 17:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-09-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-09-25 17:30
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-09-25 17:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33%10.3%2026-09-24 14:00