默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK v Virtus Segafredo Bologna

2026-09-25 17:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK (主队)

预测 80.92%1.24公平赔率
EV -3.70%
优势 -3.11%
Kelly -19.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
77.16%81.08%80.97%82.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.161.151.1990.09%86.48%86.96%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)

预测 19.08%5.24公平赔率
EV +6.83%
优势 +1.22%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.102%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
17.04%18.92%19.03%22.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.755.035.005.6026.67%19.90%20.00%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Fenerbahce SK (主队):80.92%;Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队):19.08%。 对于“Virtus Segafredo Bologna (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.24。 有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.60,由此产生+6.83%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.83%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.102%4.8%2026-08-26 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +3.02%E +0.559%K +0.686%G +0.021%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +3.02%E +0.559%K +0.686%G +0.021%5.5%2026-08-26 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.11%E +0.209%K +0.258%G +0.003%5.8%2026-08-26 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -7.75%E -6.80%K -55.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +1.11%E +0.209%K +0.258%G +0.003%6.6%2026-08-26 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.75%E -6.80%K -55.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.798%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -8.56%E -7.57%K -65.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -0.798%E -0.153%K -0.190%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.51%E -3.82%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.71%E -0.530%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.51%E -3.82%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 16:58
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 16:58
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.75%E -6.80%K -55.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.61%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.13%E -5.28%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.70%E -3.11%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 16:58
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.13%E -5.28%K -38.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 16:59
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.94%E -6.03%K -46.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:59
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.24%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.32%E -4.55%K -31.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.16%EV -10.18%E -9.17%K -92.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -28.46%E -7.59%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-26 16:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。