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FC Bayern München v Fenerbahce SK
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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FC Bayern München (Casa)
Previsione 30.89%3.24quota equa
EV +5.02%
Vantaggio +1.48%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescita +0.105%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.51%30.75%30.88%34.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.043.003.4037.04%32.87%33.33%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.11%1.45quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.818%
Kelly -2.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.62%69.25%69.12%72.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.371.381.4377.52%72.85%72.46%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +5.02%E +1.48%K +2.09%G +0.105% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -10.15%E -7.81%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +5.02%E +1.48%K +2.09%G +0.105% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -10.85%E -8.41%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.93%E +0.585%K +0.840%G +0.016% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.70%E -4.96%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.93%E +0.585%K +0.840%G +0.016% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.93%E +0.585%K +0.840%G +0.016% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.93%E +0.585%K +0.840%G +0.016% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +0.387%E +0.119%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -10.85%E -8.41%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -1.77%E -0.558%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.39%E -5.52%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.70%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.93%E -2.83%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.70%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.70%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.70%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.70%E -0.858%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.63%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.86%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.55%E -1.81%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.79%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.63%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -6.10%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:58 |
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.72%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.32%E -3.88%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.01%E -4.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.39%E -5.52%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.08%E -6.08%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -8.57%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -1.86%E -1.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -8.57%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -1.86%E -1.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%EV -8.57%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -7.39%E -5.52%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 16:58 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.86%E -1.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.63%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.63%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.63%E -3.35%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -1.17%E -0.818%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -15.06%E -5.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| BetUS | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -16.29%E -6.01%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -1.86%E -1.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -16.60%E -6.15%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.24%E -2.32%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 2.7% | 2026-04-01 16:59 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.22% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |