Language:English
FC Bayern München v Anadolu Efes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Bayern München (Local)
Prediction 61.04%1.64fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.01%61.05%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.66%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anadolu Efes (Visit)
Prediction 38.96%2.57fair odd
EV +0.507%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.99%38.95%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.80%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 61.04%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 38.96%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.507%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.197%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.661%E -0.259%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.83%E -0.726%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.34%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38% | 12.8% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |