L’École des cotesLangue:Français
FC Bayern München v Anadolu Efes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Bayern München (Local)
Prévision 61.04%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%61.01%61.05%62.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.66%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anadolu Efes (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.96%2.57cote équitable
EV +0.507%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.321%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 2.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.23%38.99%38.95%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.80%40.82%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.197%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.661%E -0.259%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.83%E -0.726%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:44 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.34%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| TAB | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 12:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38% | 12.8% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |