La scuola delle quote

FC Bayern München v Anadolu Efes

Inizio: 2026-03-12 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Bayern München (Casa)

Previsione 61.04%1.64quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.685%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.13%61.01%61.05%62.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.551.541.6267.57%64.66%64.94%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anadolu Efes (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.96%2.57quota equa
EV +0.507%
Vantaggio +0.197%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.23%38.99%38.95%40.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.452.452.5843.48%40.80%40.82%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.197%K +0.321%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-12 08:40
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.661%E -0.259%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 15:25
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.83%E -0.726%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 01:34
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 18:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 23:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 04:19
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 04:19
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 18:45
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:44
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:20
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 15:20
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:25
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 18:20
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.34%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:25
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 18:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:25
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:40
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:25
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 18:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 18:45
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:45
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 18:55
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:20
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 18:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 18:39
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 18:39
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 12:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-12 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-12 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-12 19:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-03-12 19:15
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-03-12 18:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38%12.8%2026-03-12 15:20