La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.197%K +0.321%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -0.661%E -0.259%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.83%E -0.726%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 04:19 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:44 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.34%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.73%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -6.12%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| TAB | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.88%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -7.67%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 12:04 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38% | 12.8% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |