Language:English
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v FC Bayern München
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prediction 76.29%1.31fair odd
EV +0.698%
Edge +0.529%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.06%76.07%76.38%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.251.3284.03%80.38%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Bayern München (Visit)
Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV +0.783%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%23.93%23.62%26.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.923.954.2528.57%25.49%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 76.29%; FC Bayern München (Visit): 23.71%. For FC Bayern München (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.783%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV +0.698%E +0.529%K +2.18%G +0.015% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -15.10%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -0.065%E -0.050%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -15.58%E -4.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.35%E -1.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -15.82%E -4.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.783%E +0.184%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 18:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 12:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -2.30%E -0.558%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.67%EV -14.87%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.17%E -5.01%K -26.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -1.59%E -0.383%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.42%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.796%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |