L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v FC Bayern München
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prévision 76.29%1.31cote équitable
EV +0.698%
Avantage +0.529%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.06%76.07%76.38%77.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.241.251.3284.03%80.38%80.00%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Bayern München (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.783%
Avantage +0.184%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.51%23.93%23.62%26.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.954.2528.57%25.49%25.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV +0.698%E +0.529%K +2.18%G +0.015% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -15.10%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -0.065%E -0.050%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -15.58%E -4.38%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.35%E -1.84%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -15.82%E -4.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.783%E +0.184%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 18:13 |
| William Hill | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 12:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -2.30%E -0.558%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.67%EV -14.87%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.17%E -5.01%K -26.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -1.59%E -0.383%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.42%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.796%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 18:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |