La scuola delle quote

FC Barcelona Bàsquet v FC Bayern München

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:30 UTC

Finale: FC Barcelona Bàsquet 95–69 FC Bayern München

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Casa)

Previsione 76.29%1.31quota equa
EV +0.698%
Vantaggio +0.529%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.06%76.07%76.38%77.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.241.251.3284.03%80.38%80.00%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Bayern München (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.71%4.22quota equa
EV +0.783%
Vantaggio +0.184%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.51%23.93%23.62%26.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.923.954.2528.57%25.49%25.32%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV +0.698%E +0.529%K +2.18%G +0.015%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -15.10%E -4.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 18:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -0.065%E -0.050%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -15.58%E -4.38%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 18:09
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.35%E -1.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -15.82%E -4.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:24
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:09
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 18:24
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 18:09
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.35%E -0.325%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 18:14
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.77%E -0.676%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 18:20
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:15
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 17:44
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:14
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:09
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.783%E +0.184%K +0.241%G +0.002%4.2%2026-04-17 18:13
William Hill1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 12:49
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -2.30%E -0.558%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 18:09
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:09
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:09
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:14
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -5.41%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.67%EV -14.87%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:09
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.17%E -5.01%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:14
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:54
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 18:09
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.402%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:54
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -1.59%E -0.383%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 18:14
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:09
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:18
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:15
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.46%E -7.05%K -42.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.14%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:09
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 77.42%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.796%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -9.22%E -7.75%K -48.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 18:24
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-04-17 18:25
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-04-17 18:14

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%10.4%2026-04-17 18:09