Language:English
Dubai Basketball v Valencia Basket
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prediction 48.63%2.06fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%48.31%48.68%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.74%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valencia Basket (Visit)
Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.69%51.32%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.801.8959.52%55.11%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 48.63%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 51.37%. For Dubai Basketball (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 03:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.11%E -5.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.49%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.57%E -4.81%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.22%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 17:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -9.60%E -5.45%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.57%E -4.56%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -13.71%E -8.16%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 06:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 13:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 17:54 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 13:09 |