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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Dubai Basketball v Valencia Basket

开赛时间： 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Dubai Basketball 85–95 Valencia Basket

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Dubai Basketball (主队)

预测 48.63%2.06公平赔率
EV +2.13%
优势 +1.02%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.74%48.31%48.68%49.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.74%51.28%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Valencia Basket (客队)

预测 51.37%1.95公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
50.52%51.69%51.32%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.811.801.8959.52%55.11%55.56%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Dubai Basketball (主队)：48.63%；Valencia Basket (客队)：51.37%。 对于“Dubai Basketball (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.06。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+2.13%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:15
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.11%E -5.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.49%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.57%E -4.81%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:44
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:45
William Hill🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.22%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:54
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -9.60%E -5.45%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 13:09
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:54
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:24
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:54
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:29
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.57%E -4.56%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -13.71%E -8.16%K -20.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 06:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:08
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-04-17 17:54
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-17 17:54
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%3.4%2026-04-17 17:54

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-04-17 13:09