La scuola delle quote

Dubai Basketball v Valencia Basket

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Finale: Dubai Basketball 85–95 Valencia Basket

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dubai Basketball (Casa)

Previsione 48.63%2.06quota equa
EV +2.13%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.74%48.31%48.68%49.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.971.952.1054.05%50.74%51.28%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia Basket (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.37%1.95quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.52%51.69%51.32%54.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.811.801.8959.52%55.11%55.56%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.13%E +1.02%K +1.94%G +0.041%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 17:54
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:15
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.300%E -0.146%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.11%E -5.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:55
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.786%E -0.385%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:44
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 17:54
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.76%E -0.871%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:44
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.49%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.57%E -4.81%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:45
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.22%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 14:49
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.08%E -5.13%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:54
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 17:39
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -4.19%E -2.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -9.60%E -5.45%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 15:44
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:54
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.11%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 13:09
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:25
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:24
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:54
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:24
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:24
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:35
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:54
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.92%E -1.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 17:55
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.14%E -3.18%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:54
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:29
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -8.06%E -4.50%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:29
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.60%E -4.00%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.57%E -4.56%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -13.71%E -8.16%K -20.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 06:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:08
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.03%E -5.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 13:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-04-17 17:54
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-17 17:54
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%3.4%2026-04-17 17:54

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-04-17 13:09