Language:English
Dubai Basketball v Saski Baskonia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prediction 71.75%1.39fair odd
EV -0.988%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.12%71.75%71.58%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.3878.13%76.10%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saski Baskonia (Visit)
Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%28.25%28.42%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.56%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 71.75%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 28.25%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -6.20%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -6.49%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -0.988%E -0.716%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -9.88%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |