La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dubai Basketball v Saski Baskonia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Predicción 71.75%1.39momio equitativo
EV -0.988%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.12%71.75%71.58%74.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.311.301.3878.13%76.10%76.92%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Saski Baskonia (Visitante)
Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV +4.53%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.076%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%28.25%28.42%30.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.56%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -6.20%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -6.49%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 18:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -0.988%E -0.716%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -9.88%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |