La scuola delle quote

Dubai Basketball v Saski Baskonia

Inizio: 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dubai Basketball (Casa)

Previsione 71.75%1.39quota equa
EV -0.988%
Vantaggio -0.716%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.12%71.75%71.58%74.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.311.301.3878.13%76.10%76.92%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Saski Baskonia (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.25%3.54quota equa
EV +4.53%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.85%28.25%28.42%30.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.56%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +4.53%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.076%4.5%2026-03-12 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011%4.7%2026-03-12 18:55
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.71%E +0.474%K +0.656%G +0.011%5.3%2026-03-12 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 18:50
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +0.294%E +0.083%K +0.115%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 18:50
William Hill1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:44
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:35
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:35
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.12%E -0.320%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.53%E -0.734%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 18:55
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:55
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 18:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 18:55
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:55
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.16%E -6.38%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:55
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.44%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:55
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -6.20%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 18:35
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -6.49%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:10
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:30
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 18:55
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.01%E -4.59%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 16:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 16:45
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 18:44
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.14%E -2.33%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:00
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 18:50
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 18:35
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -0.988%E -0.716%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -9.88%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 18:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.42%E -1.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 18:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 17:00
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 17:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.17%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 17:00
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -3.86%E -2.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-03-12 18:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.5%2026-03-12 17:00