Language:English
Dubai Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prediction 81.32%1.23fair odd
EV +0.019%
Edge +0.016%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%81.30%81.30%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.161.2390.91%86.48%86.21%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit)
Prediction 18.68%5.35fair odd
EV +21.44%
Edge +3.30%
Kelly +3.90%
Growth +0.836%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%18.70%18.70%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.005.145.106.5025.00%19.45%19.61%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 81.32%; ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit): 18.68%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.44%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +21.44%E +3.30%K +3.90%G +0.836% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +12.10%E +2.02%K +2.42%G +0.293% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -10.55%E -9.59%K -105.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +6.50%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.977%E -0.184%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.23%E -2.72%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.08%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.92%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -9.38%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.25%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.86%E -4.15%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV +0.019%E +0.016%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -16.11%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -19.66%E -4.57%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -20.59%E -4.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -23.40%E -5.71%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -25.27%E -6.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |