L’École des cotesFrançais
Dubai Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prévision 81.32%1.23cote équitable
EV +0.019%
Avantage +0.016%
Kelly +0.083%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%81.30%81.30%85.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.161.161.2390.91%86.48%86.21%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.68%5.35cote équitable
EV +21.44%
Avantage +3.30%
Kelly +3.90%
Croissance +0.836%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%18.70%18.70%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.145.106.5025.00%19.45%19.61%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +21.44%E +3.30%K +3.90%G +0.836% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +12.10%E +2.02%K +2.42%G +0.293% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -10.55%E -9.59%K -105.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +6.50%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.977%E -0.184%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.23%E -2.72%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.08%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.92%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -9.38%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.25%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| TAB | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.86%E -4.15%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV +0.019%E +0.016%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -16.11%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -19.66%E -4.57%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -20.59%E -4.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -23.40%E -5.71%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -25.27%E -6.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |