La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dubai Basketball v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Predicción 81.32%1.23momio equitativo
EV +0.019%
Ventaja +0.016%
Kelly +0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%81.30%81.30%85.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.161.161.2390.91%86.48%86.21%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visitante)
Predicción 18.68%5.35momio equitativo
EV +21.44%
Ventaja +3.30%
Kelly +3.90%
Crecimiento +0.836%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%18.70%18.70%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.005.145.106.5025.00%19.45%19.61%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +21.44%E +3.30%K +3.90%G +0.836% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +12.10%E +2.02%K +2.42%G +0.293% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +10.23%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.214% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -10.55%E -9.59%K -105.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +7.43%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.116% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +6.50%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.11%E -7.18%K -62.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.93%E -7.97%K -74.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +2.76%E +0.502%K +0.613%G +0.017% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.892%E +0.165%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -9.74%E -8.77%K -88.53%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.977%E -0.184%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.91%E -0.364%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.71%E -0.924%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.58%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.23%E -2.72%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.08%EV -5.67%E -4.89%K -35.46%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.92%EV -7.14%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -9.38%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.76%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.30%E -6.40%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.32%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.05%E -3.43%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.25%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.49%E -5.64%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -12.19%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| TAB | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.86%E -4.15%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -14.06%E -3.06%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV +0.019%E +0.016%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -16.11%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -19.66%E -4.57%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -20.59%E -4.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -1.61%E -1.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -23.40%E -5.71%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.42%E -2.02%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -25.27%E -6.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |