Language:English
Dubai Basketball v AS Monaco
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prediction 61.11%1.64fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%60.91%61.07%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.561.6666.67%63.62%64.10%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AS Monaco (Visit)
Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.09%38.93%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.382.402.5445.87%41.99%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 61.11%; AS Monaco (Visit): 38.89%. For Dubai Basketball (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -13.28%E -5.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.838%E +0.508%K +1.29%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.226%E +0.138%K +0.354%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -0.996%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -15.23%E -6.99%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.61%E -0.998%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.62%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.23%E -0.484%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.12%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 17:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 17:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |