L’École des cotesDubai Basketball v AS Monaco
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prévision 61.11%1.64cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.873%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%60.91%61.07%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.561.6666.67%63.62%64.10%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AS Monaco (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.89%2.57cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -0.798%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.09%38.93%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.382.402.5445.87%41.99%41.67%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 17:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -13.28%E -5.96%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.838%E +0.508%K +1.29%G +0.011% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.226%E +0.138%K +0.354%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -0.996%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -15.23%E -6.99%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.61%E -0.998%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 17:05 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.62%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 12:04 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:20 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 13:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 11:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.23%E -0.484%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:55 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.12%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 11:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 17:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 17:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 11:34 |