La scuola delle quote

Dubai Basketball v AS Monaco

Inizio: 2026-04-02 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dubai Basketball (Casa)

Previsione 61.11%1.64quota equa
EV +1.45%
Vantaggio +0.873%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%60.91%61.07%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.561.6666.67%63.62%64.10%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AS Monaco (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.89%2.57quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.484%
Kelly -0.798%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%39.09%38.93%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.382.402.5445.87%41.99%41.67%39.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:55
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:55
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 17:54
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +1.45%E +0.873%K +2.19%G +0.032%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -13.28%E -5.96%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.838%E +0.508%K +1.29%G +0.011%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 17:55
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.226%E +0.138%K +0.354%G +0.001%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 17:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -0.996%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -15.23%E -6.99%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.61%E -0.998%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 11:34
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.17%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 17:05
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 17:00
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 17:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 15:15
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.62%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 17:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:50
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 12:05
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 17:35
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 12:05
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.90%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 12:05
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 12:04
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 17:10
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 17:35
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 13:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 17:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 11:34
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 11:35
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.23%E -0.484%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 17:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.34%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:34
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:55
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -5.12%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 11:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:34
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:38
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.23%E -3.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.11%E -4.68%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 17:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-02 17:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-04-02 17:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%3.6%2026-04-02 17:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%12.1%2026-04-02 11:34