Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v KK Crvena zvezda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV -0.487%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.203%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.32%29.36%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.13%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KK Crvena zvezda (Visit)
Prediction 70.73%1.41fair odd
EV +0.439%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%70.68%70.64%71.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.4276.92%74.53%74.91%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 29.27%; KK Crvena zvezda (Visit): 70.73%. For KK Crvena zvezda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.439%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -11.61%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV +0.439%E +0.309%K +1.04%G +0.005% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.68%E -1.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -15.71%E -5.45%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 11:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.17%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -9.56%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.66%E -4.63%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.24%E -0.672%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:48 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |