L’École des cotesFrançais
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v KK Crvena zvezda
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prévision 29.27%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.487%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.203%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%29.32%29.36%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.13%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
KK Crvena zvezda (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.73%1.41cote équitable
EV +0.439%
Avantage +0.309%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.31%70.68%70.64%71.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.331.4276.92%74.53%74.91%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -11.61%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV +0.439%E +0.309%K +1.04%G +0.005% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.68%E -1.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetUS | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -15.71%E -5.45%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 11:00 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 11:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.17%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| GTbets | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -9.56%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.66%E -4.63%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.24%E -0.672%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:09 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:14 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |