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ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v KK Crvena zvezda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Casa)
Previsione 29.27%3.42quota equa
EV -0.487%
Vantaggio -0.143%
Kelly -0.203%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.11%29.32%29.36%32.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.13%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
KK Crvena zvezda (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.73%1.41quota equa
EV +0.439%
Vantaggio +0.309%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.31%70.68%70.64%71.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.331.4276.92%74.53%74.91%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -11.61%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV +0.439%E +0.309%K +1.04%G +0.005% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.68%E -1.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetUS | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -15.71%E -5.45%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 11:00 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 11:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -5.17%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| GTbets | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -9.56%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 01:35 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.66%E -4.63%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.24%E -0.672%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 15:09 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 11:14 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.22%E -3.90%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.487%E -0.143%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -1.95%E -0.582%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 12:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |