Language:English
AS Monaco v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AS Monaco (Local)
Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%22.04%21.82%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.454.334.344.8528.99%23.07%23.04%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 78.17%1.28fair odd
EV -0.723%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.25%77.96%78.18%80.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.61%83.33%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Monaco (Local): 21.83%; Olympiacos (Visit): 78.17%. For AS Monaco (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.87%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +5.87%E +1.21%K +1.52%G +0.090% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.23%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -7.66%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -8.54%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.02%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.50%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -12.47%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -0.723%E -0.569%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -13.12%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.05%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -19.23%E -5.20%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -24.69%E -7.16%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.93% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |