La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v Olympiacos

Inizio: 2026-05-05 17:50 UTC

Finale: AS Monaco 82–105 Olympiacos

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 21.83%4.58quota equa
EV +5.87%
Vantaggio +1.21%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.44%22.04%21.82%26.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.454.334.344.8528.99%23.07%23.04%20.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olympiacos (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.17%1.28quota equa
EV -0.723%
Vantaggio -0.569%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.25%77.96%78.18%80.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.61%83.33%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +5.87%E +1.21%K +1.52%G +0.090%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 17:45
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 17:45
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 17:44
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 17:44
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 17:44
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 17:44
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 17:44
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 17:45
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 17:45
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 17:44
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 17:45
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 17:45
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 17:45
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 17:45
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 17:45
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 17:45
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 17:45
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 17:44
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 17:44
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.23%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 17:45
GTbets4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -7.66%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 17:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 17:44
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 17:44
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 17:45
MyBookie.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 17:44
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 17:44
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -8.54%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.02%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 17:44
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 17:45
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 17:45
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.50%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 17:45
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -12.47%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -0.723%E -0.569%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 17:35
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 17:40
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -13.12%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 17:44
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 17:45
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 17:45
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.05%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 17:45
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -19.23%E -5.20%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 17:45
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -24.69%E -7.16%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 17:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%0.2%2026-05-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-05 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-05-05 17:45
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-05-05 17:45
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-05 17:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.93%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%12.4%2026-05-05 17:45