La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
AS Monaco v Olympiacos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AS Monaco (Local)
Predicción 21.83%4.58momio equitativo
EV +5.87%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.44%22.04%21.82%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.454.334.344.8528.99%23.07%23.04%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Olympiacos (Visitante)
Predicción 78.17%1.28momio equitativo
EV -0.723%
Ventaja -0.569%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.25%77.96%78.18%80.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.201.2785.47%82.61%83.33%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +5.87%E +1.21%K +1.52%G +0.090% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| FanDuel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.60%E +0.553%K +0.702%G +0.018% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.414%E +0.090%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.77%E -0.393%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.95%E -0.898%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.23%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| GTbets | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -7.66%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.98%E -5.86%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.32%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.76%E -6.57%K -43.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -8.54%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.02%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -9.19%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.50%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -12.47%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -0.723%E -0.569%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 17:35 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.29%E -1.83%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -13.12%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 17:44 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| TAB | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.87%E -3.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.05%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.07%E -2.47%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -19.23%E -5.20%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.63%E -3.80%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -24.69%E -7.16%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -1.50%E -1.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 0.2% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.93% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 17:45 |