Language:English
Anadolu Efes v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Prediction 74.50%1.34fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -10.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%74.64%74.45%77.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.74%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit)
Prediction 25.50%3.92fair odd
EV +9.66%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.283%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%25.36%25.55%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.713.754.3030.77%26.93%26.67%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anadolu Efes (Local): 74.50%; ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit): 25.50%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.66%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.66%E +2.25%K +2.93%G +0.283% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +1.50%E +0.377%K +0.504%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +0.737%E +0.187%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.81%E -0.471%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.675%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 17:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -5.89%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.46%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |