L’École des cotesFrançais
Anadolu Efes v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Prévision 74.50%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -10.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%74.64%74.45%77.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.74%78.13%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV +9.66%
Avantage +2.25%
Kelly +2.93%
Croissance +0.283%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.10%25.36%25.55%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.713.754.3030.77%26.93%26.67%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.66%E +2.25%K +2.93%G +0.283% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +1.50%E +0.377%K +0.504%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +0.737%E +0.187%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.81%E -0.471%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.675%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 17:27 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -5.89%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.46%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |