La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Anadolu Efes v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Anadolu Efes (Casa)
Previsione 74.50%1.34quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -2.43%
Kelly -10.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%74.64%74.45%77.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.74%78.13%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.50%3.92quota equa
EV +9.66%
Vantaggio +2.25%
Kelly +2.93%
Crescita +0.283%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.10%25.36%25.55%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.713.754.3030.77%26.93%26.67%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +9.66%E +2.25%K +2.93%G +0.283% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV +3.29%E +0.812%K +1.08%G +0.035% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.62%E -6.15%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.01%E +0.503%K +0.671%G +0.013% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +1.50%E +0.377%K +0.504%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +0.737%E +0.187%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.81%E -0.471%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.675%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.11%E -7.47%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 17:27 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -5.13%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.13%E -4.87%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -5.89%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.15%E -2.43%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.46%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.39%E -4.24%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.64%E -3.63%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.01%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -6.88%E -5.50%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -3.90%E -3.02%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-03-06 17:28 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:29 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 17:30 |