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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.880%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%50.82%50.99%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.852.0058.48%54.32%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)
Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%49.18%49.01%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.922.0855.87%52.21%52.08%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 50.88%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 49.12%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +2.17%E +1.04%K +2.01%G +0.044% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 08:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.00%E -7.60%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 06:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 15:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV +1.76%E +0.880%K +1.76%G +0.031% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.93%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.62%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -12.07%E -6.75%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-04 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.