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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-07-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 50.88%1.97公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.880%
Kelly +1.76%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.59%50.82%50.99%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.841.852.0058.48%54.32%54.05%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 49.12%2.04公平赔率
EV +2.17%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +2.01%
增长率 +0.044%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%49.18%49.01%51.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.921.922.0855.87%52.21%52.08%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：50.88%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：49.12%。 对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.08，对应+2.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +2.17%E +1.04%K +2.01%G +0.044%4.3%2026-07-04 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.00%E -7.60%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 08:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:48
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 08:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 08:55
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 08:55
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 06:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 15:58
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:55
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV +1.76%E +0.880%K +1.76%G +0.031%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.93%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.62%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 08:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:55
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -12.07%E -6.75%K -15.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-04 08:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。