La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Inizio: 2026-07-04 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa)

Previsione 50.88%1.97quota equa
EV +1.76%
Vantaggio +0.880%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.59%50.82%50.99%53.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.841.852.0058.48%54.32%54.05%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.12%2.04quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.09%49.18%49.01%51.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.921.922.0855.87%52.21%52.08%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -9.43%E -5.30%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +2.17%E +1.04%K +2.01%G +0.044%4.3%2026-07-04 08:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.00%E -7.60%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.76%E -0.880%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 08:55
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 08:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:45
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:55
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 08:40
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 08:55
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:48
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 08:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 08:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 08:55
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 06:45
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 08:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:45
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 15:58
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 08:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 08:45
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV +1.76%E +0.880%K +1.76%G +0.031%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 08:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.93%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.62%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 08:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -12.07%E -6.75%K -15.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-04 08:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.