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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 66.63%1.50fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%66.66%66.43%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4773.53%70.85%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 33.37%3.00fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.34%33.57%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.832.9537.74%35.28%35.34%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 66.63%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 33.37%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -6.24%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 08:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 13:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 22:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 08:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.38%E -5.31%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -11.58%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 08:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.38%E -6.90%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 22:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.