默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

67%

33%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 66.63%1.50公平赔率

EV -2.05%

优势 -1.39%

Kelly -4.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.47

博彩公司预测分布

65.38%66.66%66.43%68.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.411.401.4773.53%70.85%71.43%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 33.37%3.00公平赔率

EV -1.57%

优势 -0.533%

Kelly -0.806%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布

31.87%33.34%33.57%34.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.652.832.832.9537.74%35.28%35.34%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：66.63%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：33.37%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.00。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-1.57%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-17 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-17 08:54
1xBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -6.24%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-17 08:54
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-17 08:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-17 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-17 08:54
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-17 08:49
William Hill🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-16 13:45
Coolbet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-16 15:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 08:54
FanDuel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-17 08:54
NordicBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-16 13:15
Betsson🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-16 13:15
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-17 08:53
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 08:54
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-16 13:23
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-16 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-17 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-16 14:04
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-17 08:54
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-16 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-16 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-16 13:24
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-16 18:15
Everygame🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-17 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.38%E -5.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -11.58%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-04-17 08:53
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:54
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-16 18:44
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.38%E -6.90%K -26.05%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-04-16 22:23

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。