L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 66.63%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.38%66.66%66.43%68.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.401.4773.53%70.85%71.43%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.37%3.00cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.87%33.34%33.57%34.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.832.832.9537.74%35.28%35.34%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 08:54
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.58%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 08:54
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.05%E -1.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -6.24%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 08:54
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:54
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 08:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 08:54
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 08:49
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 13:45
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 15:54
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 08:54
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 08:54
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:15
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:15
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 08:53
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:54
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 13:23
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 14:04
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 08:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 13:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 13:24
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:15
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 08:24
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.38%E -5.31%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -11.58%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 08:53
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:54
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:54
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:54
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:44
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.38%E -6.90%K -26.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 22:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.