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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.22%59.89%59.24%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.571.6668.03%63.34%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV +9.33%
Edge +3.45%
Kelly +5.49%
Growth +0.512%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%40.11%40.76%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.342.7045.45%42.54%42.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 59.51%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 40.49%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.93%E -8.06%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -12.52%E -8.52%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.23%E +0.491%K +0.819%G +0.010% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-02 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-02 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 08:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 08:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.49%E -3.76%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 08:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -10.11%E -4.55%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.