L’École des cotes

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prévision 59.51%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.22%59.89%59.24%64.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.581.571.6668.03%63.34%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.49%2.47cote équitable
EV +9.33%
Avantage +3.45%
Kelly +5.49%
Croissance +0.512%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.25%40.11%40.76%42.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.342.7045.45%42.54%42.74%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.93%E -8.06%K -24.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512%4.6%2026-04-01 13:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -12.52%E -8.52%K -26.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512%5.1%2026-04-01 13:40
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.23%E +0.491%K +0.819%G +0.010%6.7%2026-04-02 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-02 08:45
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-02 08:44
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:50
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:44
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:45
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:45
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:44
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 08:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 08:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 08:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-02 08:54
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 08:50
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-02 08:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 08:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 08:45
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 08:55
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 08:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 08:55
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.49%E -3.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 08:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:54
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:44
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:55
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:54
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 08:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 08:50
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -10.11%E -4.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 08:55
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 08:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.