默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 59.51%1.68公平赔率

EV -1.22%

优势 -0.732%

Kelly -1.84%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布

57.22%59.89%59.24%64.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.471.581.571.6668.03%63.34%63.69%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 40.49%2.47公平赔率

EV +9.33%

优势 +3.45%

Kelly +5.49%

增长率 +0.512%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布

35.25%40.11%40.76%42.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.352.342.7045.45%42.54%42.74%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：59.51%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：40.49%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.70，对应+9.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.93%E -8.06%K -24.85%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512%	4.6%	2026-04-01 13:54
Coolbet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -12.52%E -8.52%K -26.64%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +9.33%E +3.45%K +5.49%G +0.512%	5.1%	2026-04-01 13:40
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.23%E +0.491%K +0.819%G +0.010%	6.7%	2026-04-02 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-02 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.796%E -0.325%K -0.549%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-02 08:44
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-02 08:50
BetRivers🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 08:44
Unibet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 08:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 08:44
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-02 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-02 08:50
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-02 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-02 08:54
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-02 08:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-02 08:55
1xBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-04-02 08:45
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-02 08:55
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-02 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-02 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-02 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -8.49%E -3.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-02 08:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-02 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-02 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-02 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-02 08:55
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-02 08:54
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-02 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-02 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -1.22%E -0.732%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -10.11%E -4.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-02 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-04-02 08:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。